Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Thirty two days until battle.

I hope your August is full of beach, sun, and Corona. As you're sitting poolside this month, remember that your boys in blue & white are sweating, fighting, and clawing their way to collective greatness. The Akron Zips are 32 days away. Are you ready?

Sunday, July 19, 2009

Change the future, not the past

With the buzz surrounding the NCAA’s punishment against Florida State’s football team, it seems like as good of a time as any to comment on the process by which the NCAA punishes violations.

The Seminoles are faced with giving up 14 football wins. (Other Florida State teams are facing similar reprimands, but for our purposes, let’s focus on football.) Changing the past isn’t a possibility, yet the NCAA feels changing the record books is the best course of action. I disagree.

As an example, the University of Michigan men’s basketball team vacated five seasons worth of wins. The team abandoned 113 wins between from the 1992-93 season and 1995-1999 seasons, including their 1992 Final Four appearance, 1997 NIT Tournament championship, and 1998 Big Ten Tournament championship. While the record books may show that there was no winner of these titles, I doubt Chris Webber, Robert Traylor and others have lost too much sleep over it.

Pretending teams won or lost games that they didn’t doesn’t accomplish much. If the NCAA wants to really make a dent on violations, they should abandon any thought of vacating wins (i.e., trying to change the past), and instead focus on this four-step approach (i.e., impacting the future):
  1. Loss of scholarships. One of the NCAA’s current punishment methods is to reduce the number of scholarships a school or team is allowed to distribute to incoming recruits. Let’s continue the practice from a slightly different perspective: while revoking scholarships hurts teams, it ultimately hurts current students as well, many of whom may have had nothing to do with the violation in the first place. In this plan, teams lose the scholarships – but the school does not. The athletics scholarship fund will be required to fund the number of stripped scholarships for the school’s general scholarship fund. The only criterion for this is that the new scholarship recipient may not be affiliated with the university’s athletics program in any way.
  2. Probation. The concept of probation needs to be enforced as a deterrent, not a slap on the wrist. Extend the length of probation terms, increase the requirements needed to be removed from probation, and make sure the definition is crisp and clear – screw-ups of any kind will be strictly punished. Probation is your warning, and teams must ensure that they heed that warning.
  3. No post-season of any kind. One of a school’s biggest money-makers is post-season play, and not just its own trips. Conference tie-ins to big paydays help fund lots of things for the schools. Take away not only the chance to play in the post-season, but to receive the benefits earned by any other school, and you’ll see a change in attitude.
  4. Free transfer. The last step is the most extreme, but I think it’s the biggest step in cutting down school’s committing violations of any kind. Any major infractions should be punished by allowing players the option to transfer from the university without facing the mandatory one-year waiting period before they are eligible to play for their new school. Top players want to be seen and heard; if they’re school is losing scholarships and missing out on any post-season play, those players may remain invisible and silent. Allowing them to leave, restriction-free, will greatly increase schools’ diligence in monitoring and enforcing their own players.

While there are certainly holes in this argument, and it’s not going to solve all the world’s problems, it’s certainly an improvement over trying to change the record books. The only way to prevent things from happening in the future is to punish the future – not change the past.

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Time to dust off the playoff argument

I want to tackle this issue before it becomes the hot topic of the season, if only because it seems to turn into the hot topic of every season. So what exactly is the answer to the age-old question – “Why not a college football playoff?”

School presidents, conference commissioners, and the BCS big wigs often seem to play the "what about our athletes’ educations?" argument. Frankly, it is both tired and weak. College basketball can have a playoff/tournament without a problem, college football games are played (mostly) on Saturdays (no classes!), and the season has already stretched into mid-January. Asking top-flight teams to play one or two more games (without having to take 40 days off between games) is not going to cause anyone to flunk out who wouldn't have flunked out anyway.

Before you start thinking you’re going to read over another list of reasons in favor of a playoff system, think again. I like the system the way it is – my biggest problem with it is the half-hearted reasoning we’re consistently fed for why it should remain as it is now.

It seems like every year, the team left on the outside screams for a playoff system, but only after they’ve been left out. I’m sorry 2008 Utah, 2004 Auburn, 2003 USC, 1994 Penn State, and others... you’ve established the system, you live by the system, you profit from the system. If you’re going to argue with the system, you can’t do it after you’ve been hurt by it.

While I'd like to see a legit champion – and I don’t deny the fact that the current system does not give us a legit champion – I personally like the fact that every game means something now. Say we're heading into Rivalry Weekend, and Ohio State has locked up the #3 seed in the playoffs and Michigan is mathematically eliminated -- do you really think Ohio State is going to play its starters all game and risk fatigue or injury before the next week's playoff game?

Also, how would we qualify the "top eight teams?" College basketball has 31 automatic bids, so everyone has a chance to guarantee their spot – not the case in college football. When you have 34 at-large teams, a team has a fairly weak argument when they scream, "We're the 27th best at-large team, we should have gotten in!" Figuring out who is #34 and who is #35 is a lot easier than figuring out who is #2 and who is #3.

How would college football do it? The obvious guess would be to take the six BCS conference champs and two at-large teams.

In 2008, a 6+2 playoff would have meant (records pre-bowl game) Virginia Tech (9-4), Oklahoma (12-1), Cincinnati (11-2), Penn State (11-1), USC (11-1), and Florida (12-1) automatically get in. So that leaves two spots for Texas (11-1), Texas Tech (11-1), Ohio State (10-2), Ball State (12-1), Utah (12-0), TCU (10-2), Alabama (12-1), and Boise State (12-0). How exactly do you pick two out of those eight? And how can you say Virginia Tech (9-4) or Cincinnati (11-2) is more deserving than almost any of those teams?

While a playoff would certainly be exciting, let’s hope the folks in charge deal with college football’s other problems first. If we can bring back some meaningful non-conference games and standardize conference schedules and conference championship games, maybe we’ll weed out the pretenders from the contenders and not even need a playoff system at all.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Brush the dust off this old sucker, it's football time.

What do you get when you add together Joe Paterno's age, Penn State's "official" national championships, and the program's bowl victories under Joe? 107 - the precise number of days until grills are sparked, beers are shotgunned, and Dear Old State thrashes Akron in Happy Valley. Yes boys and girls, this blog is fully prepared to take off. We'll begin with weekly blurbs before getting into the thick of things as we march toward September 5th.

To start things off, congratulations are in order for 2009 captains Sean Lee and Daryl Clark. These fine gentlemen were no surprise, considering what leadership they brought to the team on the sideline and on the field, respectively. However, I find the return to two captains, however temporary, to be refreshing. And really, who's not looking forward to seeing baby face Lee crushing souls on the turf? Potential man crush brewing? We'll see in due time.

Chicago was home to the Big Ten meetings this week, where Joe surprisingly backed off from his earlier push for a 12th team and conference championship. The 82 year old Italian son-of-a-b is anything but of out of touch with the realities of the sport he helped to mold into what it is today. Here is an old man calling the Big Ten outdated. One quote sums it up:

We go into hiding for six weeks. Everybody else is playing playoffs on television. You never see a Big Ten team mentioned. So I think that's a handicap. [espn]

Well said. More on this to come.

Bowl season is still far away, but it needs to be noted that five of the Big Ten's bowl contracts are up for renewal after the 2009 season. Here's looking at you, Orlando. The Florida Citrus Bowl is the home to both the Champs Sports Bowl and Capital One Bowl. The problem is that the sorry pile of metal in humid Florida is, oh I don't know, 14 years overdue for a face lift. The 65,000 seat decrepit stadium is not suitable to be home to the Big Ten's best non-BCS tie-in. Another possibility would be the soon-to-be opened Cowboys Stadium, which will become the host of the Cotton Bowl the following year. 80,000 (expandable to 100K) seats of Jerry Jones inspired testosterone. Is this a realistic possibility? Considering the Big 12 and SEC are the current tie-ins and can guarantee fans, combined with the fact that the Capital One payout is a million more, probably not. One can hope though.

Monday, May 4, 2009

Coach Jay Paterno joins the blog underworld.

Quick update here (I promise there’s a substantial one coming this week). Coach Jay Paterno is now blogging and tweeting. I appreciate his updates being mostly Penn State and football related, unlike that coach out in Southern Cali who updates his freeway traffic status. Check out Jay’s updates here:

Jay's blog

Jay's Twitter page

One recommendation to Coach Jay - spell check before posting!

Friday, April 24, 2009

Sign #1 that college football is back - YouTube videos.

Brush off the dust - college football is officially back.

Baseball season is off and running(big series tonight), two sports are in the middle of their playoffs, and the NFL draft kicks off tomorrow. But with the warming temperatures this weekend comes the kick off to the only sport that matters; college football in Happy Valley. Get fired up!

I'm on the road to State College for Penn State's Blue-White weekend as I type. The game brings the official spring practice season to an end, but not without first answering some of our questions. What questions, you might be wondering? Please, read on.

  • Who is Daryl Clark throwing to? With the departure of the best 1-2-3 punch of receivers PSU has ever seen, "potential" is the best way to describe Clark's new targets.

  • Who wins the fight in the trenches? Both the D-line and O-line have replacements to make due to a graduating class of studly dudes. My concern lies (as always) with the O-line. I have faith that Coach Larry Johnson will be able to once again re-load for this year.

  • MIA: Penn State's secondary - Who's stepping up to the plate? Also hit by graduation, this is the defense's (and perhaps the team's) weakest link. I still have nightmares about the Rose Bowl implosion, so most of my concern lies here.

  • Will Jay Paterno be tweeting from the coaches' box? Clearly the most important question of the day.

    I'm keeping this short but sweet for now; expect more after the weekend. This blog has been slow due to other updates but expect things to pick up here in the coming weeks.
  • Tuesday, January 13, 2009

    Happy Valley, we have a problem.


    The economy is so far gone beyond our grasps that the porn industry is calling for a buyout. You know there are serious problems when dudes stop paying to look at boobs as frequently as they once did. But this is not a joke, people. Jobs are scarce, money is tight, and everyone in the country is holding its collective breathe, everyone except Satan’s team.


    Consider this scenario – You work at a prestigious place for your line of work. You have a middle management position, average pay, long hours, extensive travel. You are extremely good at what you do, maybe the best in the country. Some experts think you are undervalued by your current employer. Your CEO is aging and is, in some people’s minds, slowing the gears of business. The competition is moving their product faster and in more hip fashions than your employer. You might have a shot at the top position once he retires, but you’re certainly not everyone’s favorite.


    One night as your cuddle up to central PA local programming, the phone rings. It’s the CEO of one your competitors, personally reaching out to you. What could this be about you wonder. Turns out he wants you. Big promotion. Double your current salary. Bump in title from middle management to V.P. National recognition. Similar travel. More responsibility. More money…lots more. So what do you do? You take the job.


    And that is why Penn State is in serious trouble.


    According to PennLive’s David Jones, Larry Johnson Sr. has been tapped by Illinois head choke coach Ron Zook to come on board, primarily to replace the recruiting chasm created by now departed and former offensive coordinator Mike Locksley. Johnson has been Penn State’s clutch recruiter over the years, dominating the Virginia/Maryland/D.C. mid-Atlantic region. Starting with this year’s graduating class, here are a few of LJ Sr.’s recruiting standouts:


    Class

    Players Recruited

    Notables

    2005

    5

    Jordan Norwood (WR), Derrick Williams (WR), Knowledge Timmons (CB),

    2006

    11

    Evan Royster (RB), A.J. Wallace (CB), Jared Odrick (DE), Bani Gbadyu (LB), Navorro Bowman (LB), Aaron Maybin (DE), Alim "Abe" Koroma (DT),
    Antonio Logan-El (OL, pictured above)

    2007

    3

    Devon Still (DE), Chaz Powell (CB),

    2008

    4

    A.J. Price (WR), Jack Crawford (DE)

    2009*

    11

    Devon Smith (WR), Adam Gress, (OT), Brandon Felder (WR), Sean Stanley (DE), Darrell Givens (CB)

    Stats briefly compiled from FightonState. *2009 recruiting season is still in progress.


    Where would we be without Norwood, Williams and Royster? How dominating would our line be without Odrick, Maybin, Koroma, and Still? And chew on this - how good would Illinois be with this crop of talent?


    On the surface, Penn State fans are worried about the coaches replenishing our receiver corps, finding talent for the secondary, and sealing the gaps on the offensive line. More of concern is whether Johnson wants to leave his current employer for the corner V.P. office. Penn State would be losing not just a good recruiter, but a great man. We would be losing a member of the Penn State family that makes it just that – a family. Johnson has had the ability to continue recruiting young men by promising them a chance to be part of something bigger, all while promising family members a good education and a home away from home for their children. The degree of Johnson’s importance to the program cannot be calculated.

    Nothing Big about them.

    That's what she said.

    I'm back to update a chart in my previous post, reflecting the Ohio State's and Oklahoma's streaks, albeit not positive streaks, concerning BCS bowls. The new data is up to date:

    Buckeyes & Sooners, Head to Head - BCS Record since 2003

    Team

    Record

    NC Chances

    Crowns

    Streak

    Ohio State

    2-3

    2

    0

    0-3

    Oklahoma

    0-5

    2

    0

    0-5


    Again I ask - why is it that the Sooners do not receive the same criticism? Is it because the Big 12 includes flashy programs Texas Tech (embarrassed in the Cotton Bowl by Mississippi) and Texas (last second win over OSU) among others? These high scoring, high octaine games resulted in Big 12 players dominating the season's Heisman talks. The only other real candidate? Chuck Norris himself.

    Thursday, January 8, 2009

    There's one wagon I won't be jumping on.

    Disclaimer – As a Big Ten supporter I am rooting for neither Florida nor Oklahoma. I’m hoping tonight’s game provides an exciting match up that ends the college football season on a high note. Due to only so much down time at work I could only analyze one team.


    I promise I am not delaying the inevitable breakdown of the 95th Rose Bowl. However, with yet another controversial BCS “championship” game upon us I feel it necessary to shed some light on the Oklahoma Sooners. In short, I don’t like them. But a blog of in-shorts is not a blog at all, right? Alas, three reasons why I’m glad I’m not a Sooner.


    Reason #3 - Because the Sooners have more in common with Buffalo than they’d like to admit.


    Ask a Bills fan about Super Bowls XXV, XXVIII, or the two in between and they will likely plea the Fifth. The Bills will always be known as the team that collapsed to the Cowboys and fell wide right to the Giants. To this day, Buffalonian stake their claim on fried goodness more so than their pro teams.


    Switch gears and travel 18 hours south to Oklahoma (wait, we already did that…full report on the road trip to Cali coming soon) and find yourself in Norman, OK. Beyond the suffocating crimson and cream colors you will find the Sooner faithful jazzed about their current national championship hopes. They’ll brag about their five Heisman winners, seven national titles, and 42 conference titles. They might even go as far to as that they’ve been Big XII champions four of the past five seasons. What they won’t tell you is that their overall BCS record is 1-5 and zero for last four. That’s right folks, without a December 25, 2005 Holiday Bowl 17-14 victory over Oregon, Stoops and his line-jumping Sooners are 0-4 in the big games. 0-4, just like those Bills. Here’s a re-cap:


    Season

    Date

    Bowl

    Opponent

    Score

    Result

    2003

    Jan. 2004

    Sugar (NC)

    LSU

    21-14

    LOSS

    2004

    Jan. 2005

    Orange (NC)

    USC

    55-19

    LOSS

    2006

    Jan. 2007

    Fiesta

    Boise State

    43-42

    LOSS

    2007

    Jan. 2008

    Fiesta

    West Virginia

    48-28

    LOSS

    2008

    Jan. 2009

    NC Game

    Florida

    ?

    ?


    Like I mentioned, the only thing keeping these fives games from being in a row was the Holiday Bowl. Say it with me now - Holiday. Bowl.


    Ohio State had nothing to talk about for 20+ seasons prior to 2002 and their return to national championship prominence. Their rise to BCS notoriety was both swift and infamous, accumulating the following track record:


    Season

    Date

    Bowl

    Opponent

    Score

    Result

    2003

    Jan. 2004

    Fiesta

    Kansas St.

    35-28

    WON

    2005

    Jan. 2006

    Fiesta

    Notre Dame

    34-20

    WON

    2006

    Jan. 2007

    NC

    Florida

    41-14

    LOSS

    2007

    Jan. 2008

    NC

    LSU

    38-24

    LOSS

    2008

    Jan. 2009

    Fiesta

    Texas

    24-21

    LOSS


    Ohio State coming up short in the big ones is nothing new; in fact it was arguably the kerosene on the anti-Big Ten fire that has swept the nation. But comparing the numbers, one must ask why the Sooners do not receive the same one-sided criticism.


    Buckeyes & Sooners, Head to Head - BCS Record since 2003*

    Team

    Record

    NC Chances

    Crowns

    Streak

    Ohio State

    2-2

    2

    0

    0-2

    Oklahoma

    0-4

    2

    0

    0-4

    * - I’ll come back to this chart with 2009 numbers after tonight.


    Where is the criticism for Oklahoma? Two losses in the national championship game, the victim of one of the sport's greatest bowl upsets, and shellacking by a West Virginia team led by an interim coach. A loss tonight should ignite a conversation about Bob Stoops' ability to win the big one. Hey, we need something to talk about between January and August, right?


    Reason #2 – Because Bob Stoops is the equivalent of a schoolyard bully.


    Sam Bradford recently became Oklahoma’s fifth Heisman Trophy winner, and statistically speaking he was the best of the three finalists. But why was he the best? Below shows a clear breakdown of Sam Bradford’s performances during the regular season:


    Game

    Opponent

    Total Yds / TD

    Time S.B.’s of Last Score

    Score at this time

    Final


    1

    Chattanooga

    183 / 2

    2nd Q / 6:53

    43-0

    57-2

    W

    2*

    Cincinnati

    395 / 5

    4th Q / 4:10

    52-20

    52-26

    W

    3

    Washington

    304 / 5

    3rd Q, / 3:25

    48-7

    55-14

    W

    4*

    TCU

    411 / 4

    3rd Q / 5:38

    35-3

    35-10

    W

    5

    Baylor

    372 / 2

    2nd Q / 5:26

    35-7

    49-17

    W

    6*

    Texas

    387 / 5

    4th Q / 11:42

    35-30

    45-35

    L

    7*

    Kansas

    468 / 3

    4th Q / 12:02

    45-24

    45-31

    W

    8*

    Kansas St.

    255 / 3

    2nd Q / 4:27

    41-28

    58-35

    W

    9

    Nebraska

    311 / 5

    3rd Q / 0:44

    62-21

    62-28

    W

    10

    Texas A&M

    320 / 4

    3rd Q / 6:23

    59-21

    66-28

    W

    11

    Texas Tech

    304 / 4

    4th Q / 13:54

    65-14

    65-21

    W

    12*

    Oklahoma St.

    370 / 4

    4th Q / 7:17

    51-41

    61-41

    W

    13*

    Missouri

    384 / 2

    2nd Q / 8:59

    24-7

    62-21

    W

    * - Denotes that Bradford was the only quarterback to attempt a pass.


    Give yourself a moment to digest those numbers, or let me do it for you with some takeaways:


    • In the six games that backup QB Joey Halzle saw action, he was 22-30 for one TD and 171 yards. Of those 30 attempts, 16 were in the first week against Chattanooga. Simply put, Halzle was used for nothing more but mop duty.
    • Bradford’s last touchdown pass put Oklahoma ahead by an average of 27.85 points per game. Take away OU’s loss to Texas and the margin of victory at the time of Bradford’s last score jumps to 29.75. Going one step further, if you look at the games the Sooners won by 20 or more points, Bradford’s last contribution gave his team a 33.6 point lead. Why would a coach continue to go to use his first team players during such one-sided games? Other than attempting to inflate the statistics of both his team and his star quarterback, there is no clear explanation.

    One game that stands above the rest is the Oklahoma / Nebraska game on November 1st. Clearly knowing that the BCS voters were paying attention to Texas / Texas Tech later that evening, Stoops kept Bradford in the game for an unexplainable amount of time.


    S.B. Touchdown

    Quarter / Time

    Score

    Margin of Lead

    1

    1st Q / 10:31

    21-0

    21pts

    2

    1st Q / 9:27

    28-0

    28pts

    3

    1st Q / 0:04

    35-0

    35pts

    4

    3rd Q / 9:30

    56-21

    35pts

    5

    3rd Q / 0:44

    62-21

    42pts


    Coincidence that this dominating show occurred the same evening of Texas’ last second collapse?



    Reason #1 – Their official mascot is a….wagon?


    Proud Oklahomans refer to themselves as Boomer Sooners, but according to Michael Scott’s go-to reference, the school’s official mascot is the Sooner Schooner. “Sooners” is of course a reference to the Oklahoma Territory settlers who jumped the gun and staked their claim to countless acres of flat-as-a-table land. A school's mascot heritage tied to cheaters? No thanks.